The expectation from many of college football’s prognosticators—Vegas included—is that the Ducks’ season-opening clash with Georgia on the road (because it’s not a “neutral site” playing Georgia) will not be a close game. But, after that, Oregon could be favored in 10 of its final 11 games.

According to ESPN’s Football Power Index, the Ducks should win at least eight games in 2022.

Released last month, Oregon ranked 23rd in the first set of FPI numbers from ESPN. Of the teams Oregon will face in 2022, only Georgia and Utah were ranked higher.

And, according to FPI, the Ducks-Utes game on Nov. 19 in Eugene might just be a “pick ’em.” On a neutral field, FPI views Utah as 2.5 points better. Give a team 2.5 points for homefield advantage and you get a toss-up in one of what should be the Pac-12’s most exciting games of the year.

Here’s what Oregon’s  schedule looks like, according to the first batch of FPI numbers:

2022 FPI – Oregon

After the Ducks return from Georgia, FPI thinks the squad should have better than a 70% chance to win eight of its final 11 games. UCLA is close to the Ducks, according to FPI, and a trip to Corvallis to close out the season will be an interesting one.

And FPI was within about a point on each of the three Oregon-related point spreads released last week by FanDuel. FanDuel opened with Georgia as a 16.5-point favorite (0.7 difference) and then Oregon as a 6.5-point favorite over BYU (1.1 difference) and a 13-point favorite over Stanford (0.6 difference).

For more, our offseason win totals series over on the Saturday Down South YouTube channel hit on the Ducks this week. I spoke with Saturday Road‘s Spenser Davis to offer some predictions for the 2022 Oregon football season win total.