Bill Connelly’s SP+ predictive model projects Washington to defeat Arizona State 45-13 on Saturday.

The Huskies are favored by a huge number — more than 25 points at most sportsbooks — and SP+ thinks they’ll have no issues covering. The model gives Arizona State only a 3% chance of beating Washington for a second consecutive season.

Arizona State managed to hand Washington one of its two losses last season, taking down UW 45-38 in Tempe in what would end up being one of the bigger upsets of the 2022 season.

Washington has been the darling of the college football season thus far, as its passing attack ranks among the best in the nation and quarterback Michael Penix Jr. is far and away the Heisman favorite at this juncture.

UW has taken down Boise State, Michigan State, Arizona, and most notably then-No. 8 Oregon last week. The Husky offense is virtually unstoppable and the defense has done well to complement that unit throughout the ’23 campaign. A playoff berth is in the sights of Karen DeBoer in his second season at the helm.

Year 1 of the Kenny Dillingham era has been up and down for Arizona State. The Sun Devils are in the middle of a five-game losing streak, but the results have varied. ASU looked strong in close losses to USC, California, and Colorado, but they were also shut out by Fresno State 29-0 in Week 3.

Coming off a bye week, Dillingham and Co. will be looking to pull off a stunner that can serve as a signature win for his first season.

The matchup between the Huskies and Sun Devils can be seen at 7:30 p.m. PT on FS1.