ESPN’s FPI is predicting every game on Washington’s schedule, and the system is not high on the Huskies entering the season.

Kalen DeBoer’s program enters 2023 14th in the country for the national championship odds. The Football Power Index also doesn’t expect the Huskies to be serious contenders for the title, projecting a final record of 7.7-4.5 for Washington.

As far as the Pac-12 goes, Washington is given less than a 10% chance of winning the league and just a 2.3% chance of advancing to the College Football Playoff. Those numbers are particularly low for a program that returns a lot of firepower and has high expectations this fall.

Some of the reasoning for those projections include a number of tough road matchups against Michigan State, USC and Oregon State. Along with home games against Oregon and Utah, the Huskies are given less than a 50% chance of winning in 5 games this year.

It goes without saying some of those projections are misplaced, including a road matchup against a scuffling MSU program that Washington dominated in 2022. The Huskies will also look to dial up their best shot in matchups against Oregon and USC.

Still, even with an upset or two, the FPI paints a bleak picture of Washington’s 2023 performance. Here are the full game-by-game projections:

  • Sept. 2 vs. Boise State — 78.9%
  • Sept. 9 vs. Tulsa — 92%
  • Sept. 16 at Michigan State — 45%
  • Sept. 23 vs. Cal — 75.5%
  • Sept. 30 at Arizona — 66.8%
  • Oct. 14 vs. Oregon — 48.3%
  • Oct. 21 vs. Arizona State — 82.3%
  • Oct. 28 at Stanford — 76.4%
  • Nov. 4 at USC — 22.9%
  • Nov. 11 vs. Utah — 48.2%
  • Nov. 18 at Oregon State — 44%
  • Nov. 25 vs. Washington State — 81.6%