ESPN’s Football Power Index gives Utah a 99.5% chance to win at least six games in 2022. It gives the Utes a 25% chance of winning the Pac-12—the highest of any team in the league—and the 10th-best chance of anyone in the country of making it to the College Football Playoff.

Expectations are up for Utah in 2022. A Pac-12 title and a Rose Bowl appearance last season were celebrated, but now the Utes are hoping they were steps toward something greater.

“For our program, it signified the next step in the evolution of our program, winning the Pac-12,” head coach Kyle Whittingham said at Pac-12 Media Day over the weekend. “We’d been to the championship game, that was the third time last year. We had been denied the first two times, so it was good to get over that hump.”

Utah is the preseason pick to repeat.

FPI thinks it has a great chance of doing so. Here’s how FPI views the Utes’ chance of winning each game on the 2022 schedule:

  • Sept. 3: at Florida — 47.9%
  • Sept. 10: Southern Utah — 99.4%
  • Sept. 17: San Diego State —90.2%
  • Sept. 24: at Arizona State — 67.7%
  • Oct. 1: Oregon State —84.9%
  • Oct. 8: at UCLA — 58.4%
  • Oct. 15: USC — 73.1%
  • Oct. 27: at Washington State — 81.1%
  • Nov. 5: Arizona — 93.3%
  • Nov. 12: Stanford — 86.0%
  • Nov. 19: at Oregon — 47.6%
  • Nov. 26: at Colorado — 83.7%

Using FPI as a baseline, Utah can be expected to be favored in at least 10 of its 12 games this season. The Action Network’s Brett McMurphy reported on Wednesday the Utes could be one of only a handful of teams in the country to be favored by Vegas in every regular-season game they play.

In seven of the Utes’ 12 games, FPI gives them at least an 80% chance to win. The projected record for Utah, using FPI, sits at 9-3. Picking the Utes to reach that mark feels like a safe bet. Whittingham has led his team to at least nine wins in six of the last seven full seasons. Utah has reached double-digit wins in both of the last full seasons it has played.

We’ll soon find out what’s in store in 2022. The Utes get rolling in The Swamp against the Gators at 4 p.m. PT on ESPN on Sept. 3.