ESPN’s FPI has game-by-game predictions for all 12 games on USC’s regular season schedule.

The model is projecting the Trojans as a favorite in 11 of 12 regular season games this season. The one exception is USC’s trip to South Bend to face Notre Dame in mid-October.

FPI is also predicting a toss-up game against Oregon in the penultimate week of the regular season.

Here’s FPI’s full game-by-game predictions along with USC’s percentage chance of victory:

  • Aug. 26 vs. San Jose State — 96.4%
  • Sept. 2 vs. Nevada — 96.9%
  • Sept. 9 vs. Stanford — 93.8%
  • Sept. 23 at Arizona State — 88%
  • Sept. 30 at Colorado — 92.8%
  • Oct. 7 vs. Arizona — 90.9%
  • Oct. 14 at Notre Dame — 42.3%
  • Oct. 21 vs. Utah — 68.4%
  • Oct. 28 at Cal — 77.5%
  • Nov. 4 vs. Washington — 77.1%
  • Nov. 11 at Oregon — 54%
  • Nov. 18 vs. UCLA — 83.6%

USC also went 11-1 in the regular season last year. Its lone defeat came against Utah. The Trojans then lost to the Utes again in the Pac-12 Championship Game.

This year, FPI is giving USC a 6.6% chance to go undefeated. The model also projects the Trojans have a 22.2% chance to make the College Football Playoff for the first time.

USC and San Jose State will kick off at 5 p.m. PT on Aug. 26.