ESPN’s SP+ has made predictions for this week’s college football slate. Among those projections is a pick for the UCLA-Stanford game.

What is SP+? In a single sentence, creator Bill Connelly describes it as follows: “a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency.”

The model does not foresee an upset at home for Stanford. Instead, the model predicts the Bruins to get a big win on the road, 37-16.

The model gives the Bruins an 88% win probability and also likes the team to cover the spread of 16.5 points. The model also likes the game to go under the total of 55.

The 25th-ranked Bruins are looking for a win after losing two of their last three games. The team fell to the Oregon State Beavers last week by a score of 36-24.

Stanford, meanwhile, is looking to build off of an impressive come-from-behind win over the Colorado Buffaloes. The Cardinal are sitting at 2-4 and need some wins if they hope to become bowl-eligible.

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. PT on ESPN.