Fool’s Gold: First impressions and false impressions from Week 6 in the Pac-12
UCLA’s second consecutive upset threw a wrench in the Pac-12, and now the Bruins are among the talk of college football.
Should UCLA be considered the Pac-12 favorite at this point? Or USC, despite a couple of down weeks?
How much of that potential is fact and how much of it is fiction? Read below.
1. Impression: UCLA is now the team to beat in the Pac-12
No. 7 USC has looked shaky on offense in 2 of the past 3 weeks.
No. 12 Oregon has rebounded nicely from a 49-7 Week 1 drubbing to Georgia.
No. 20 Utah already has 2 losses and still has to face the Trojans and Ducks.
Does that mean No. 11 UCLA …is the team to beat?
With wins over Washington and the Utes in back-to-back weeks, the Bruins have vaulted to the Pac-12’s top tier. That they leapfrogged Oregon in the rankings says a ton about how national media feel about a UCLA team that has long been a sleeping giant. A combination of a potent pass rush, a dangerously efficient passing game and one of the top power running games in the country has the Bruins streaking at 6-0, winners of 9 straight dating to last season.
If any of those three facets were faltering, the Bruins wouldn’t be in this position. But Dorian Thompson-Robinson has been phenomenal, Zach Charbonnet has been terrific and a transfer-bolstered defensive front seven is leap years better than the past few years.
Things are about to get special for the Bruins.
Verdict: First impression
2. Impression: Utah can still contend for a conference title
The national media still has a lot of faith in the Utes, who are the top-ranked 2-loss team in the country. But UCLA exposed some major flaws Saturday, flaws that other Pac-12 teams will notice and exploit.
The Utes’ tackling was atrocious against the Bruins and their powerful running back Charbonnet, who ran for 198 yards and ran through the Utah front seven. UCLA also rarely pressured Bruins quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson, who went 18-for-23 passing with 4 touchdowns. The Bruins connected on passes of 70, 49 and 24 yards.
Cam Rising and the Utes’ passing game, meanwhile, was relegated to a long completion of just 25 yards. This was Utah’s third game this year with a long pass of 30 yards or fewer. Not exactly biting off big chunks.
Verdict: False impression
3. Impression: USC deserves its No. 7 ranking
USC has yet to play or beat a Top-25 team, but worse, they haven’t truly beaten down an opponent in several weeks.
Defeating Washington State by 16 points, Arizona State by 17 points and Oregon State by 3 points doesn’t inspire all that much confidence.
This is USC. They’re supposed to run teams off the field. But the passing game has been pedestrian, the rush defense has allowed 152 yards per game.
Verdict: False impression
4. Impression: Oregon State has found its future QB
After 2 down weeks, the Oregon State offense re-emerged in a 28-27 win over Stanford. The Beavers scored just 30 points in losses to USC (17-14) and Utah (42-16), and while 28 points isn’t exactly an offensive explosion, Oregon State outgained Stanford 442-359.
With Ben Gulbranson in for Chance Nolan, who was out with a neck injury, Oregon State moved the ball well and had true offensive balance, racking up 250 passing yards and 192 rushing yards.
Gulbranson completed 20-of-29 passes with 2 touchdowns and no interceptions and made it a tough call for Oregon State coaches going forward.
Verdict: First impression
5. Impression: Jordan Addison has been a disappointment
It’s hard to call a guy who ranks 2nd in the Pac-12 in touchdown receptions and 5th in both receptions and receiving yards per game a bust, but Jordan Addison has left us wanting this year.
The reigning Biletnikoff Award winner has 2 big games this year — 172 yards and 2 scores against Stanford in Week 2 and 105 yards on 8 grabs against Arizona State last Saturday — but 3 other games with 55 or fewer yards.
He disappeared on Saturday in 30-14 win over Washington State, collecting just 3 passes for 37 yards.
These are not the kinds of numbers that we expected, much less the kind that win postseason awards.
Verdict: First impression
6. Impression: Washington is out of the Pac-12 race
In the minds of national media, Washington is done for. It’s not just that the Huskies fell out of the Top 25 after consecutive losses to UCLA and Arizona State — Washington didn’t even get votes in Sunday’s AP poll.
But the Huskies have only one speed bump the rest of the season — a pivotal matchup with No. 12 Oregon on Nov. 12 — and a very manageable schedule aside from that.
The question is, can the passing game get back on track? Michael Penix Jr. wasn’t horrible the past 2 weeks, throwing for 300 yards both times. But he attempted 48 passes against UCLA and 53 against Arizona State. In the loss to the Sun Devils, he had no touchdowns and an interception, just his 4th of the year.
That’s a far cry from his first 4 games, when he had 12 touchdowns and only 1 pick and sported a passer rating above 165.
Verdict: False impression