ESPN has updated its Football Power Index (FPI) following the first Saturday of the new college football season.

The Pac-12 still has one game left to play, so there could still be a bit of movement. But here’s how things stand, according to the predictive model, following the opening weekend:

  • USC (2-0) — 6th nationally, up two spots
  • Oregon (1-0) — 12th, up one spot
  • Utah (1-0) — 15th, down three spots
  • Washington (1-0) — 16th, up seven spots
  • Cal (1-0) — 30th, up 18 spots
  • Oregon State (0-0) — 31st, down one spot
  • UCLA (1-0) — 38th, down two spots
  • Washington State (1-0) — 52nd, up 15 spots
  • Arizona (1-0) — 53rd, down one spot
  • Stanford (1-0) — 69th, up six spots
  • Colorado (1-0) — 71st, up 31 spots
  • Arizona State (1-0) — 90th, down 22 spots

Following the Saturday slate, here’s how FPI views each team’s chance of winning the Pac-12:

  • USC — 43.1%
  • Oregon — 25.1%
  • Utah — 13.0%
  • Washington — 11.6%
  • Oregon State — 2.4%
  • Cal — 2.1%
  • UCLA — 1.6%
  • Arizona — 0.5%
  • Washington State — 0.4%
  • Colorado — 0.1%
  • Arizona State — 0.0%
  • Stanford — 0.0%

The Trojans moved to 2-0 with a 66-14 win over Nevada Saturday evening. It was a largely academic affair for the Trojans, who scored touchdowns on five of their first six possessions.

Despite a 24-11 win over Florida to open the season on Thursday, Utah dropped three spots and moved just behind Oregon in FPI’s rankings. It’s a curious drop, especially considering the Gators still rank 33rd nationally in the model. Utah held Florida under 100 rushing yards and constantly played in the Gator backfield.

Oregon’s jump is wholly unsurprising, though. While the Ducks faced an overmatched Portland State squad that won’t help the résumé much, the manner in which Oregon won surely will. The Ducks scored a program-record 81 points and, outside of an early defensive drive, thoroughly dismantled the Vikings.

Cal was one of the biggest Power Five risers of the weekend following a 58-21 rout of North Texas on the road. The Bears played most of the game with their backup quarterback after Sam Jackson V was knocked out of the game early.

Colorado, of course, was the other big riser. The Buffs upset No. 17 TCU on the road Saturday morning in the debut of coach Deion Sanders. Quarterback Shedeur Sanders threw for 510 yards and dynamic, do-everything talent Travis Hunter officially opened his Heisman campaign with a bang. Still, FPI has the Buffs ranked 71st nationally. Sanders might want to keep the model on his list of non-believers.

The rest of FPI’s rankings can be found here. Alabama displaced Ohio State as the new No. 1 team in the country.